Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.126038 3.705791 4.393295 5.277221 6.395922 7.781476 9.654082e+00
2024-10-20 2.340900 3.061745 4.033126 5.474223 7.623490 10.824363 1.618910e+01
2024-10-27 1.879946 2.604318 3.658029 5.367959 8.209863 13.025297 2.251735e+01
2024-11-03 1.702216 2.480172 3.691820 5.827922 9.767612 17.371454 3.521984e+01
2024-11-10 1.519361 2.301861 3.587696 6.011582 10.889151 21.440567 5.059816e+01
2024-11-17 1.396355 2.191259 3.562979 6.316031 12.342685 26.968114 7.513194e+01
2024-11-24 1.248674 2.012058 3.379321 6.260358 13.006041 31.016145 1.002721e+02
2024-12-01 1.144127 1.890650 3.276386 6.338942 14.010496 36.630718 1.398831e+02
2024-12-08 1.051562 1.776599 3.165792 6.370890 14.916154 42.624771 1.933079e+02
2024-12-15 0.997521 1.726070 3.170999 6.667336 16.672911 52.963416 2.994347e+02
2024-12-22 0.913121 1.605837 3.012467 6.530474 17.116425 58.807316 3.963847e+02
2024-12-29 0.854558 1.529278 2.934785 6.579778 18.181638 68.435489 5.746859e+02
2025-01-05 0.775493 1.412289 2.773463 6.437140 18.804760 78.204445 8.531070e+02
2025-01-12 0.728689 1.358099 2.750518 6.691757 21.129155 101.715233 1.709540e+03
2025-01-19 0.665713 1.260357 2.607161 6.555061 21.884915 117.638200 2.870557e+03
2025-01-26 0.648300 1.258445 2.693500 7.147563 26.222947 171.750723 9.378204e+03
2025-02-02 0.614837 1.215858 2.670032 7.385024 29.201157 226.229224 3.003507e+04
2025-02-09 0.590899 1.191583 2.689239 7.779730 33.447973 316.722112 1.885420e+05
2025-02-16 0.551639 1.126362 2.587188 7.707454 35.054131 383.094938 1.213238e+06
2025-02-23 0.522507 1.081877 2.534896 7.809485 37.935470 495.126216 1.418511e+08
2025-03-02 0.494229 1.036154 2.471574 7.850991 40.555648 631.328895 NaN
2025-03-09 0.478443 1.019451 2.489497 8.236790 46.284606 934.128543 NaN
2025-03-16 0.448595 0.963978 2.383301 8.058525 47.412751 1113.864943 NaN